Only Time Will Tell: The True Impact of Technology

In today’s modern age, technology is having a profound impact on every industry – allowing the gears of commerce to turn more efficiently. Between mobile devices and social media, today’s technology is also revolutionizing the way we communicate, interact, and shop. While the immediate impact this technology is having seems profound, only time will tell just what type of impact that mobile devices and social media will have on society in general. In the long term, innovations like these can have a ripple effect that lasts decades and even centuries. Many innovations, whether they intend to or not, have the unique ability of impacting other industries in unforeseen ways, and alter the course of progress.

Take the story of the Roman chariot for instance. In an effort to standardize chariot manufacturing, the ancient romans supposedly decided to make all of their chariots the same way, with roughly the same wheelbase – wide enough to accommodate the two horses that would pull it. It is said that this standard wheelbase was later used in wagon construction, which in turn was later used to determine the width of railroads. Some historians say this standard wheel gauge predates even the Romans, as ancient Bronze Age wheel gauges were quite similar in width (about 4feet 8 inches).

Conventional wisdom says these stories are mere legend, and that the width of train tracks (standard gauge) originates with the “Father of Railways,” George Stephenson, a highly talented civil and mechanical engineer from Victorian England. “Stephenson’s Gauge,” which is 4 feet 8.5 inches, is accepted as the world’s standard gauge, and is used in approximately 60% of the world’s railway lines.

The point is, whoever established the standard gauge, be it George Stephenson or an unknown ancient craftsman thousands of years ago, did so without every imagining the possible impact their innovation would have on society. As it would happen, NASA transports all of their rocket boosters by train, and for that reason they are designed with the standard width of railroad tracks in mind. So in essence, the person(s) who established the standard gauge, inadvertently altered aerospace designs hundreds (if not thousands) of years later.

To be sure, the impact one technology has on another can be profound, but can also take a great deal of time to fully manifest. While predicting what technologies will have a profound impact is a tremendously difficult task, the important thing is to keep your mind open to new things – because you never know where the next game-changing innovation will come from. The question is will today’s technology, namely mobile computing and social media, have an impact on the world that reverberates for hundreds of years? Only time will tell.